Case study/ Healthcare · Portugal/ ● Peer-reviewed & published (APDH)

A €349K dialysis deficit, made visible, then cut to €52K.

A public hospital ran its dialysis unit at a loss for years without being able to see it. The accounts were healthy in aggregate and silent on the detail. A Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing model showed the detail, procedure by procedure, and turned a hidden deficit into a short list of decisions worth €296K a year, with no change to the care patients receive.

Miguel Guimarães
Published research, not a marketing claim.
Felix · Cabrita · Garrido · Guimarães · Pedroso · Centro Hospitalar do Porto & Cost and Profitability Consulting
FY2015. The unit's loss split into its three real sources: hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, and the dialytic support given to patients admitted under other services. The aggregate accounts showed none of this.
€349K → €52K
annual dialysis result, once five modelled proposals are applied
€296K
a year in gains identified, an 85% cut to the deficit
5 + 1
concrete scenarios modelled, costed and ranked, plus the combined case
6 months
to build a living model the hospital owns, not a one-off report
01The setting

A real unit, with real throughput.

The Nephrology Service of the Centro Hospitalar do Porto was founded at the Hospital de Santo António in 1975. It is not a small operation. The dialysis unit treats around forty chronic hemodialysis patients who stay in the hospital on clinical grounds, runs a peritoneal dialysis programme that has cared for hundreds of patients since 1985, and supports renal patients admitted across the rest of the hospital.

~9,000
hemodialysis sessions a year, split between ambulatory and inpatient care
19,000
external consultations a year, plus 650 to 700 admissions
100–120
kidney transplants a year supported by the service
60+ staff
nephrologists, nurses, technical and operational teams across 19 beds

A unit this size moves a lot of cost. But like most hospital services, it knew that cost only as an average: a department total divided by activity. Reimbursement, meanwhile, is paid per procedure, set against national tariffs. When the two are measured in different shapes, the gaps between them stay hidden.

02The challenge

A loss that nobody could locate.

A preliminary look suggested a deficit of around 10%. That was already expected, and worse than expected once you accounted for the resources needed to sustain patients admitted under other services. But "around 10%" is not a number you can act on. It does not tell you which treatments lose money, which suppliers cost too much, or whether the problem is price, mix, or the way care is organised.

This matters beyond one hospital. In Portugal, only a small share of chronic dialysis happens inside public, SNS-integrated units, and there is a long-running suspicion that the state could deliver it more efficiently. The honest answer requires knowing the real cost, and almost nobody has measured it the way reimbursement is actually paid. The Board of the Centro Hospitalar do Porto decided to look. It commissioned a full costing of the unit, built with Cost and Profitability Consulting alongside the hospital's own management information team.

The accounts said the unit lost money. They could not say where, or why, or what to do about it.

03The approach

Cost follows the patient, not the department.

The method at the core of the model is Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing, the approach Robert Kaplan and Steven Anderson published through Harvard Business School in 2004, and the one Kaplan and Michael Porter later brought into hospitals as the cost engine for value-based healthcare. Rather than survey staff on how they spend their time, TDABC builds time equations from real operational data and uses them to attribute cost to every procedure, episode and patient.

Around that core, the team built a costing architecture with six distinct levels of allocation. It lets some costs land directly on a patient, others flow through resources and activities, and the trickiest indirect costs reach their cost object through simple, explainable drivers. Crucially, every allocation is traceable, so the model can be re-run and updated each period rather than rebuilt from scratch.

The costing architecture. General-ledger accounts feed resources; resources feed activities and procedures through time equations; activities resolve onto the cost objects the unit actually manages. Six numbered levels, including a direct path and object-to-object allocation, keep every euro traceable.

Start from data the hospital already had.

Analytical accounts, clinical and procedure records, pharmacy issues through the GHAF system, and procurement. Indirect costs, which made up about 11% of the total, were attributed by medical act rather than smeared across the department. Extraction and cleaning ran on the Acorn PA5G toolset. No new IT project.

Cost every procedure to the national tariff.

Procedures were modelled against Portaria 234/2015, the national schedule, so the unit's cost could be compared like-for-like with what each act is actually paid. Pharmacy, consumables and an amortised equipment base were all attributed to the act that consumed them.

Resolve cost onto patient, episode and procedure.

Time equations turned thousands of transactions into a true cost per session and per patient, separated cleanly across hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis and the support given to inpatients. For the first time, the unit could see which segment lost money, and how much.

Hand over a model that simulates change.

The deliverable was not a slide deck. It was a living model the hospital can re-run, change any parameter, and watch the result move. That capability is what turned a diagnosis into the six scenarios below, and what makes the unit a candidate to become a managed centre of results.

04What the model put on the table

Five moves, ranked by what they're worth.

None of the proposals touched the quality of care. They came straight out of the cost detail: where the unit was overpaying, where capacity was idle, and where the same activity could simply be recorded correctly. Two are worth pulling out.

Biggest lever · Procurement
+€159K

Tender HD consumables and equipment

Hemodialysis was costing about €48 a session for consumables and equipment. A single competitive tender for a fixed €37 per session, bundling both together, accounts for more than half the entire turnaround on its own.

The honest entry · Cost
−€22K

2017 pay restoration

Not every line moves the right way. Restoring nursing pay by 3.5% and medical pay by 10% adds cost. The model includes it openly, because a plan that only counts the good news is not a plan a board can trust.

The other three: an extra dialysis station carved out of existing space, lifting capacity with fixed costs unchanged (+€33K); a renegotiation of the peritoneal dialysis subcontract (+€68K); and a correction to how a no-therapeutic-impact procedure is coded and transfer-priced (+€48K). Run together, the five interact slightly in the hospital's favour, which is why the published combined figure, a €296K gain, is a little better than adding them up one at a time.

05The outcome

From a vague 10% loss to a managed number.

Base case, FY2015
−€349K
deficit, source unknown
All five proposals
−€52K
deficit, fully understood

The headline is the €296K. The deeper result is the shift from a deficit nobody could explain to one that is quantified, sourced and managed, line by line. The remaining €52K is no longer a mystery; it is a known gap with a name on each part of it.

That is the difference between a report and an operating model. The hospital did not buy a one-off study. It now holds a model it can re-run as tariffs, pay scales and patient mix change, which is exactly what is needed to run the dialysis unit as a centre of results: a service with the result placed at its centre, broken down by patient, episode, treatment type, supplier and procedure, with the economic detail attached.

The model did not just produce an answer. It gave the unit a permanent way to see itself.

The methodology proved capable of demonstrating results at a high level of detail, both by accounting line and by medical act. It is decisive for the future creation of responsibility centres: it lets us put the result at the centre, per patient, episode, treatment, supplier and procedure, and immediately see which codes are running at a deficit.
From the published study · Conclusions and future perspectives
06Why it matters for value-based healthcare

You cannot manage value without the cost side.

Value-based healthcare measures the outcomes that matter to patients against the cost of achieving them. The outcomes side gets most of the attention. The cost side is where the data is weakest, because hospitals almost always know cost as a department average rather than a cost per patient or per pathway.

An average is true for nobody. It blends a routine session with a complicated one, a self-sufficient outpatient with an inpatient who needs far more support, and produces a number that hides exactly the variation a manager needs to see. Until cost is measured the same way care is delivered and reimbursement is paid, the value equation has a hole in its denominator.

This case is a worked example of closing that hole. TDABC gave the dialysis unit a defensible cost per procedure and per patient, which is what makes funding conversations, tariff negotiations and service redesign rest on evidence instead of assertion. The same method applies to any clinical service where reimbursement is set per case and cost is only known on average: surgery, oncology day units, imaging, emergency pathways.

Source · peer-reviewed publication

Inovação e Tecnologia ao Serviço da Saúde: Aplicação da Metodologia Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing à Unidade de Diálise do Centro Hospitalar do Porto

Ângela Felix, António Cabrita, Delfim Garrido, Miguel Guimarães, Rui Pedroso.

Published in the journal of the Associação Portuguesa para o Desenvolvimento Hospitalar (APDH), "Estudo". All figures on this page are drawn directly from the published study. Method after Kaplan, R. S. & Anderson, S. R., Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing, Harvard Business Review, 2004.

Frequently asked questions

What is Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing (TDABC) in healthcare?
TDABC costs care by the time each step actually takes. Instead of dividing a department's budget by its activity to get an average, it uses time equations to attribute the cost of staff and equipment to each procedure, episode and patient. It is the method Kaplan and Anderson published in 2004, and the one Kaplan and Porter brought into hospitals as the cost engine for value-based healthcare.
Why did the dialysis unit run a deficit without anyone seeing it?
The accounts were healthy in aggregate but silent on the detail. Cost was known as a service average while reimbursement is set per procedure. Only when cost was attributed the same way it is paid, procedure by procedure, did the €349K deficit and its three sources, hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis and inpatient support, become visible.
How much did TDABC save the dialysis unit?
The model identified five concrete proposals worth a combined €296K a year, cutting the deficit from €349K to about €52K. The largest single lever was a tender for hemodialysis consumables and equipment, worth €159K. None of the proposals changed the quality of care.
Does value-based healthcare need TDABC?
Value-based healthcare measures outcomes against the cost of achieving them, which requires a defensible cost per patient and per pathway, not a department average. TDABC supplies the cost side of the value equation, so funding, tariffs and service-line decisions rest on numbers a clinical director and a finance director can both stand behind.
Did the project replace the hospital's IT systems?
No. The model was built from data the hospital already held, the analytical accounts, clinical activity, pharmacy and procurement, extracted and cleaned with the Acorn PA5G toolset. It became a living model the hospital owns and updates, not a one-off report.
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